Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001163 0.001317 0.001472 0.001639 0.001815 0.001993 0.002186
2025-05-25 0.000924 0.001143 0.001372 0.001627 0.001901 0.002186 0.002501
2025-06-01 0.000704 0.000965 0.001247 0.001571 0.001928 0.002306 0.002731
2025-06-08 0.000555 0.000846 0.001174 0.001562 0.001997 0.002464 0.002998
2025-06-15 0.000474 0.000796 0.001172 0.001625 0.002142 0.002703 0.003350
2025-06-22 0.000359 0.000692 0.001096 0.001597 0.002180 0.002821 0.003567
2025-06-29 0.000284 0.000626 0.001061 0.001611 0.002261 0.002983 0.003830
2025-07-06 0.000260 0.000627 0.001104 0.001717 0.002446 0.003262 0.004222
2025-07-13 0.000189 0.000549 0.001043 0.001692 0.002477 0.003362 0.004412
2025-07-20 0.000120 0.000460 0.000959 0.001634 0.002463 0.003409 0.004539
2025-07-27 0.000093 0.000434 0.000956 0.001675 0.002567 0.003589 0.004815
2025-08-03 0.000060 0.000388 0.000922 0.001673 0.002616 0.003704 0.005016
2025-08-10 0.000014 0.000288 0.000814 0.001590 0.002588 0.003756 0.005177
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000224 0.000750 0.001564 0.002629 0.003891 0.005435
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000153 0.000664 0.001499 0.002621 0.003966 0.005626
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000111 0.000615 0.001483 0.002672 0.004111 0.005899
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000096 0.000617 0.001541 0.002817 0.004370 0.006304
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000061 0.000563 0.001511 0.002847 0.004488 0.006543
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000041 0.000539 0.001523 0.002929 0.004668 0.006855
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000042 0.000572 0.001625 0.003131 0.004995 0.007340
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000021 0.000527 0.001600 0.003163 0.005111 0.007574
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000005 0.000465 0.001543 0.003147 0.005167 0.007735
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000002 0.000462 0.001583 0.003263 0.005387 0.008090